Todd Robson

It ain’t over ’til it’s over. – by Todd Robson

Image: Hill Street Studios

Image: Hill Street Studios

Overconfident, unmotivated and at the end of the day, it’s all about that base

I don’t kick dogs or losers when they’re down, even doucheb*gs like Donald Trump.

And, I was under the impression this race was all but over.

It looked like Bill Clinton was about to fire up the old Tinder account and Hillary was already finding a way to offshore her money.

All but done. I wondered if Bill still has a key to the Oval Office humidor?

Until late last week.

That’s when I sat down for lunch with a pollster friend of mine. He’s been busy as hell with congressional polls, gubernatorial polls, senate polls, and national polls. The GOP is a big client and my buddy is running numbers every which way he can.

Now the first thing he told me was quite surprising.

Apparently, the numbers suggest no one gives a flying f**k about morality issues. The daily claims of sexual assaults by Trump and the rehashing of Bill Clinton’s indiscretions are not moving his numbers.

Instead, the numbers ARE being moved by things like immigration, the wall, terrorism, and the economy.

It’s beyond puzzling. Donald Trump’s behaviour reminds me of everything I hated about high school. Asshole bullies treating people like crap to satisfy some sick need for attention and adulation. I also firmly believe he’s a misogynistic pig.

On the other hand, I believe the Clintons have no place on the moral high ground. Bill Clinton hurt women, and Hillary accepted it and did her best to beat back the scandals. She was an accomplice, and no better than he was.

Trump may be a fool, but this election is not over. It’s not even close to over and that explains the daily assaults on Trump by a seemingly absent Clinton (but she’s a healthy 68 we’re told). North Carolina, Florida, and Ohio are all within the margin of error.

You see, national polls are deceiving. When Don Lemon smiles his indignant smile and proclaims Clinton is up by nine points nationally, it’s a little disingenuous. It’s not the popular vote that wins. America decides its leader based on the antiquated electoral college system. An ass-backwards way of electing people. So when a poll samples in New York, California is easily swayed and tilts inaccurately.

Even scarier my pollster friend tells me that Trump has not fallen below 43 percent nationally—ever. That’s his base. A guaranteed number. It will never budge and it is full of voters that are pissed off and intending to vote.

Clinton, on the other hand, may need to worry.

Polls show her vote in key areas is soft. You see, Clinton owns the millennials and the minority blocks with off-the-charts projections.

But the reality is black and Latino voters are not as energized by Hillary as they were by Obama. If Barack Obama was James Brown, Hillary Clinton is Lawrence Welk. She has no link to those communities. She’s not a source for change or inspiration that Obama was in 2008. There is no guarantee voters will show up to the ballot box for Hillary.

As for millennials, they are the second largest voting block in America. But the thing is, these aren’t your grandparent’s Democrats. They are not party aligned. They support people, not parties—just ask Bernie Sanders (hint, he’s not a Democrat, seriously, no shit). Some might vote, some might not, some might stay home and get high.

The media has all but assured Clinton a landslide win. Mix a pinch of arrogance and overconfidence with those painfully long voting lines in Florida and Ohio and you now have a reason to worry that November 8 might be a longer night than most expect.

There is a reason Clinton’s team has not eased up despite her lead. This may also be the reason Trump seems unfazed by it all.

Because this race is far from over.

Clinton should and will likely win. But she might not. Just be careful who you blame if she loses.

As H. L. Mencken said, “Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard.”

In this election, America will get the leader they deserve.

Image: Image Inc

Image: Image Inc

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6 Comments

  • Reply Sharon October 21, 2016 at 9:24 am

    Blaming women or calling them accomplices with regard to their men’s/husbands’ behavior is shortsighted and misogynist. Men must bear and accept full responsibility for their actions.

  • Reply Rod MacKinnon October 21, 2016 at 11:48 am

    Neither candidate is what I would call first rate but based on my political beliefs I could never vote for someone with agenda like Trump no matter what dirt they dig up on Hillary.

  • Reply Bill December 9, 2016 at 3:32 pm

    I think the only d*^chebag here is the guy writing the article. You aren’t even American worry about your clown of a Prime Minister Trudeau who will soon be kissing the ass of a d*^chebag!!!

    • Reply Jody Vance December 10, 2016 at 9:15 am

      I’m posting this comment as an example of why we moderate. I post it now with a caveat: Be kind Bill. You can have an opinion without name calling, please respect our contributors.

      Mybackyard Team

  • Reply Bill December 10, 2016 at 10:26 am

    Jody, I don’t think it’s appropriate that your contributor is calling people names regardless what he thinks of them.

    • Reply Jody Vance December 10, 2016 at 3:14 pm

      Bill,

      Please keep from being argumentative. Make your points — back them up — it’s a discussion, not a fight. Our contributors are more than welcome to have a point of view. We do not moderate that POV, we keep the conversation open and adult. This board will not be spiralling down an ugly path of jabs and veiled attacks.

      Calling Todd names because you didn’t like his article is not what we are about here. I think you know that.

      best,

      MyBackyard Team.

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